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Most Voters Think Harris Will Concede, but Trump Won’t, If Defeated in 2024 Election

66% of voters say the threat of violence against political leaders and their families is a major problem in the country

Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand Americans’ views of the 2024 presidential election campaign.

For this analysis, we surveyed 5,110 adults – including 4,025 registered voters – from Sept. 30 to Oct. 6, 2024. Everyone who took part in this survey is a member of the Center’s American Trends Panel (ATP), a group of people recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses who have agreed to take surveys regularly. This kind of recruitment gives nearly all U.S. adults a chance of selection. Surveys were conducted either online or by telephone with a live interviewer. The survey is weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education and other factors. Read more about the ATP’s methodology.

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